Patent Pending · ERCOT Live

What does this load owe the grid, who controls the response, and what can it prove?

GridSignals maps what a large electricity load owes the grid, who can make it respond, what evidence proves performance, and whether the data pipeline preserved that evidence. Fixed-scope transaction diligence, fixed-scope pipeline verification, and a live ERCOT system that turns grid stress into timestamped records checkable against public market data.

The common thread is evidence. A party's own logs document its position; they are not independent proof of it. No one grades their own homework. GridSignals builds the account a counterparty can check rather than take on faith, and states plainly what has not been established.

Obligation, evidence, and control are three separable inheritances

In a large-load transaction, three things can end up with three different parties: the obligation to respond to the grid, the records that prove what happened, and the equipment that actually executes the response. Under Texas SB6, the definition of a large load customer expressly includes a successor in interest, so a buyer can inherit the obligation while another party keeps the switch, or the records.

Inheritance 1

Obligation

Tariff, protocol, statute, contract

What the asset must or must not do, under which source, with what trigger, penalty, and successor treatment. Interconnection, forecasting, ride-through, registration, and curtailment regimes now key on different thresholds, so one asset can sit inside several regimes and outside others at once.

Inheritance 2

Evidence

Meters, notices, records

What proves performance: meter data, curtailment notices, QSE records, telemetry. Who holds each, who may disclose it, and whether the rights to obtain it transfer with the asset. The obligation may follow the asset while the rights to the data needed to verify performance may not.

GridSignals focus
Inheritance 3

Control

Who holds the switch

Who can actually cause the response: the operator, a landlord, a retail provider's desk, the serving utility, or a developer-owned substation. An obligation without control of the deciding equipment is exposure, not capability.

GridSignals focus
$400+
node separation
Localized congestion can spike your settlement point $400+ above the grid average: node-level exposure that cannot be resolved from system-wide averages alone.
5
min cadence
Continuous reassessment of grid state, mechanism classification, and risk level. Every five minutes, aligned with ERCOT's real-time market.
Market-specific intelligence, not one-size-fits-all
Scarcity Detection
Live production primary. Event record accumulating.
Congestion Detection
Live. Has classified multiple real events in production.
ERCOT 4CP
First post-RTC+B 4CP season, Summer 2026.
For Transactions

Diligence before you inherit

The Grid Obligation & Evidence Schedule: every grid obligation on one asset, with its trigger, economic exposure, successor treatment, evidence rights, and who controls the deciding equipment, built from the actual transaction documents.

For Data Desks

Verification you can grade

A fixed-scope, source-to-storage review of whether your pipeline preserved what the source actually published, graded in a fixed findings vocabulary.

For Operators

Act with mechanism context

Most days, you do nothing. When monitored conditions cross a defined threshold, GridSignals distinguishes system-wide scarcity, localized congestion, and sudden disturbances so the site can apply its own operating policy.

The Grid Obligation & Evidence Schedule

A fixed-scope diligence sprint on one asset, built from the actual transaction documents: interconnection and service agreements, elections, classification letters, and data-rights provisions. The deliverable is a schedule of every grid obligation on the asset, with its source, trigger, required or prohibited behavior, who controls the deciding equipment, economic exposure, successor treatment, what evidence proves performance, who holds that evidence, and whether the buyer can obtain it.

Capital providers can already demand contracts, meter records, and engineering memoranda through a data room. What we have not found is a standardized transaction artifact that integrates obligation source, successor treatment, economic downside, technical capability, and evidence rights across the relevant counterparties; no single counterparty holds the whole picture. Whether transaction parties will pay separately for that integration is an open question, and it is the question GridSignals is testing.

This is a technical and economic evidence memorandum. It is not legal advice, and it is not an engineering certification. Form: one asset, fixed scope and fee, approximately ten business days, from named source documents. Deliverable: the Grid Obligation & Evidence Schedule plus an open-questions register for counsel and the independent engineer. Endpoint: a report date fixed in the scope.

Source-to-storage verification

In July 2026, ERCOT changed a market data feed's schema, and GridSignals' own deployed pipeline silently missed a newly published field: the parser discarded columns it did not recognize, and the drift alarm only watched for known fields going absent, so an addition raised nothing. A pre-release baseline had recorded the exposure in advance. We traced the loss end to end and wrote the full audit record.

That failure class, capability built but capture not deployed, published but not stored, changed but silently coerced, is what a source-to-storage engagement looks for: a bounded, fixed-scope review of whether a specific pipeline preserved what its source actually published, before and across a source's schema change. Findings are graded in a fixed vocabulary, and where deployed-artifact evidence is unavailable the verdict is reviewed, not verified. Nothing certifies itself, including us: the method was run on our own stack first.

Form: one pipeline, one deployed stack, fixed scope and fee agreed in writing before work starts, one engagement at a time. Deliverable: a findings report graded in the fixed vocabulary, from verified-preserved to not-gradeable, with the evidence basis for each finding. Exclusions: no continuous or automated assurance. Endpoint: delivery keyed to the first relevant changed rows after the source change.

The system behind the evidence

GridSignals runs a live ERCOT classification system, now in its second summer of production: settlement-point monitoring on a five-minute cadence, mechanism-labeled classification of scarcity, localized congestion, and sudden disturbances, and tamper-evident, timestamped records checkable against public market data.

It is the reason the diligence and verification work is done by people who operate a production grid-data pipeline themselves, with the documented failure classes to show for it. The live system in detail →

Verify us. Don't take our word for it.

A record you simply have to trust is not proof. The grid-side inputs and the integrity of each record are built to be independently checked. A claim about site response also depends on the provenance of the meter data behind it.

Source-anchored

Built on ERCOT's public market data: the physical record of what the grid actually did, not a proprietary feed you have to take on trust.

Independent

The account comes from outside your operation. That is something a tenant, a regulator, or a noteholder can check, precisely because you did not write it.

On the record

A fixed, timestamped account of what the grid did, what GridSignals recommended, and, when source-traceable site data are available, what response was measured: not a verdict you are asked to take on faith.

The standard we hold ourselves to is the one we would want from anyone documenting our grid behavior: claims you can check, not claims you have to believe.

How verification works: illustrative demonstration
Independently verifiedrecomputing…
chain head
(pending)
Commitment≥ 40 MW import cut
Grid condition (public)RTM $1,180 · ORDC $742
Metered reduction45 MW
VerdictPASS: 45 / 40 MW
Recompute every hash from record content + prior hash.

Illustrative values, shown to demonstrate the integrity method. On a real record, the hash chain shows whether the published record has changed. ERCOT references allow the grid-side inputs to be checked against public data; any site-response claim also requires source-traceable meter data.

The grid changed. Monitoring has to change with it.

ERCOT's RTC+B co-optimization went live in December 2025. Under the new market rules, batteries co-optimize across energy and five ancillary service products every five minutes. This fundamentally changed how prices form, when stress events develop, and which signals lead.

GridSignals' current research and evaluation are built around the post-RTC+B market.

Meanwhile, as its large-load queue expanded, ERCOT replaced sequential project-by-project review with a batched study process. Large flexible loads are increasingly settling at points where localized congestion can spike prices $400+ while the rest of the grid is calm. These events cannot be resolved from system-wide averages alone.

And the rules are catching up to the loads. The PUCT approved ERCOT's Batch Zero large-load interconnection process on June 18, 2026. Separate ride-through requirements for large computational loads (NOGRR282 and NPRR1308) took effect August 1, 2026. At the national level, NERC issued a rare Level 3 alert in May 2026 after repeated events in which 1,000+ MW of computational load dropped off the grid in seconds, and is developing registration criteria and reliability standards for large loads under a July 2026 FERC directive. Flexibility is increasingly entering the registration, study, and performance requirements applied to large loads. GridSignals creates a record a site can show if a counterparty asks what the grid did, what the system recommended, and, when source-traceable site data are available, how the site responded.

Our research process reviews observed events against the current models. Material model changes follow the documented evidence and change-control process. Patent pending.

Similar peak-cost and settlement-point questions arise in PJM. GridSignals has built and evaluated a PJM 5CP shadow-monitoring path. It is not a customer-facing deployment.

Common questions

Commercial status. GridSignals has not established that lenders, tenants, regulators, or operators will accept or pay for a real site-performance record. What is live today is grid-side: real-time ERCOT monitoring, mechanism classification, and tamper-evident records whose integrity can be independently checked. Whether transaction parties will pay separately for integrated obligation-and-evidence diligence, and whether data desks will pay for independent pipeline verification, are open questions GridSignals is testing rather than claims it is making.
What has GridSignals demonstrated?
Demonstrated: a live ERCOT classification pipeline operating in production, mechanism-labeled classification of real grid events, a tamper-evident record mechanism whose integrity can be independently recomputed, and a documented source-to-storage audit of our own pipeline, including a silent schema-change data loss that a pre-release baseline had recorded in advance. Not established: that lenders, tenants, regulators, or operators will accept or pay for a real site-performance record; that the record changes an underwriting decision; or any site-response claim for a site that has not provided source-traceable data. The rest of this page is written inside those boundaries.
What is the Grid Obligation & Evidence Schedule?
A transaction-specific schedule of every grid obligation on one asset, built from the actual documents: source, trigger, required or prohibited behavior, who controls the deciding equipment, economic exposure, successor treatment, what evidence proves performance, who holds it, and whether it transfers. It is a technical and economic evidence memorandum, not legal advice and not an engineering certification.
What is a source-to-storage verification engagement?
A bounded, fixed-scope review of whether a specific data pipeline preserved what its source actually published: what was captured, what was silently dropped, what changed meaning, and what cannot be graded. Findings use a fixed vocabulary, and where deployed-artifact evidence is unavailable the verdict is reviewed, not verified.
Do you provide advance warning before prices spike?
Energy prices are often the last signal to move during a grid stress event; generation levels, reserve margins, transmission flows, and operator actions often shift first. GridSignals monitors these physical indicators for patterns of developing stress. How much usable time that yields depends on the event: in slower-building events, some indicators can move before the price peak, while sudden disturbances can be detected quickly but not predicted ahead. For localized congestion, we track conditions specific to your settlement point. And whatever the lead, each recorded event leaves an independent, timestamped record of what the grid did, what GridSignals recommended, and, when source-traceable site data are available, how the site responded. Observed events enter the evidence record and feed our research process.
What's the difference between scarcity and congestion?
Scarcity is a grid-wide event: not enough generation to meet demand. Everyone's prices go up. Congestion is a local event: your settlement point spikes because of transmission constraints, while the rest of the grid is calm. We've observed cases where one zone reaches $470 while another is negative $3 at the same moment. Grid-wide signals do not by themselves show localized congestion. The system evaluates scarcity and localized congestion separately.
Why does the mechanism matter if the price is the same?
The operating implications can differ. Scarcity tends to be broad and may persist; localized congestion may be shorter-lived or site-specific. When GridSignals classifies a mechanism, the site applies its own operating policy.
What is deliverability and why does it matter?
Deliverability asks whether adequate system-wide reserves can actually reach the settlement point. GridSignals evaluates corridor saturation, import capability, and local conditions relevant to that exposure.
When do you issue the resume signal?
Prices can dip during an ongoing event and rebound minutes later. GridSignals tracks defined recovery indicators, including reserves and generation. The resume signal is issued only when those indicators meet the configured recovery criteria. The decision to resume remains governed by the site's operating policy.
How is this different from existing 4CP management?
Most peak management approaches are strongest at identifying obvious high-demand candidate days from load and weather data. The harder layer, and where outcomes are increasingly decided, is what survives at settlement after storage behavior, intraday forecast changes, and collective curtailment response are accounted for. That settlement-aware layer is what we focus on.
How is 4CP different under ERCOT's new RTC+B rules?
Under RTC+B, batteries co-optimize across energy and five ancillary service products every five minutes. Their charging and discharging behavior directly affects which intervals survive settlement adjustment. Models calibrated on pre-RTC+B data don't account for this. Summer 2026 is the first 4CP season under the new rules.
Why do you deploy selectively?
Our deployment approach assumes that when many participants respond to the same visible candidate, collective behavior can shift which interval ultimately counts. Deploying selectively by market and load profile is how the system accounts for that dynamic rather than adding to it.
What about the future of 4CP?
Texas SB6 requires the PUCT to complete its evaluation and amend the applicable wholesale transmission cost-allocation rules no later than December 31, 2026. The methodology may change, and GridSignals does not treat the current 4CP structure as permanent.

Built from the ground up

Soren White

Founder & CEO

Designed and built the entire GridSignals platform: data infrastructure, ML models, real-time detection architecture, and autonomous operational systems.

Laurie Fitzmaurice

Head of Energy Markets

Energy markets expertise across ERCOT, PJM, and other deregulated markets. Leads commercial strategy.